Bristol Irwin Tools Night Race: Fantasy NASCAR “Top Tier Elite” Picks
Brad Keselowski – Keselowski has back to back wins at Bristol but you can put an asterisks next to those now because they don’t mean anything fantasy wise for this race. Earlier this year Brad Keselowski won the race by being fast on the high line. That’s out of play for the Irwin Tools Night Race. Keselowski’s first race at Bristol was in 2010 so he’s never experienced the old track. I don’t think this will be a problem for him though. He’s a smart driver and has the right amount of calculated “hate” that it takes to be good here. No driver has been better than him this summer and I predict he’ll win the Bristol Irwin Tools Night Race. (Yahoo! A Driver)
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Dale Earnhardt Jr. – With Bristol going back to old school racing look for Dale Earnhardt Jr. to be one of the drivers to beat. He’s a driver who never really took to the progressively banked surface. Prior to the multi-grooving Junior was money in the bank at Bristol. In the last 11 races on the old surface Earnhardt Jr. had a win, 8 top tens and an average finish of 7.1. The grinding down won’t throw him for a loop, look for it to help him. (Yahoo! B Driver)
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Matt Kenseth – Matt Kenseth was good on both the progressively banked Bristol and the old single grooved Bristol. On the multi-grooved surface he had six straight top tens. On the old surface (single groove) his last four finishes were 1st, 3rd, 1st and 11th. It should be noted that both of his wins were in the Bristol Night Race. In the last 11 races on the old one groove surface Kenseth had nine top tens and an average finish of 5.7. As long as he can avoid bad luck he should be very good in the Irwin Tools Night Race. (Yahoo! A Driver)
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Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Projections > Drivers To Avoid
August 19, 2012 @ 5:55 pm
Brad, without doubt, is the favorite. He’s headed back to arguably his best track, but the main reason is because of his momentum. 2 consecutive 2nd-place runs should have him motivated. The only guy who could give him a headache is either Kyle or Jimmie. I think that Rowdy will be hit-or-miss, depending on how his equipment holds up. Jimmie doesn’t have much momentum on his side.
August 19, 2012 @ 8:53 pm
I’ll take Dave Blaney, He has start and park momentum.
August 23, 2012 @ 11:45 am
Just wondering if Menard is appealling his penalty, haven’t seen anything yet. When there is a penalty like that and it’s upheld,do they take away points from the actual race,or just from his total.Thankks
August 23, 2012 @ 8:59 pm
Hi Dave, Richard Childress said he would appeal the penalty. I think the points will actually go away from his Michigan points total (Pretty sure but not 100%)
August 23, 2012 @ 2:40 pm
cyberCops#48SixTime – [Summer 2,865/ Season 6.586.] > Ryan R.thx for your site and insights. With the masses defaulting to Kesel2, you are the *ONLY expert I have seen discerning enough to note as above – ” they don’t mean anything fantasy wise for this race. Earlier this year Brad Keselowski won the race by being fast on the high line. That’s out of play for the Irwin Tools Night Race. ” I watched the race but obviously missed that detail – is yours just from memory or is there data somewhere?
—- Finally, re: 48- I keep seeing his multi-year avg in teens – yet in last 3+ yrs/ 7 races actually has a 4.something avg finish, monster laps in top 10 and short tracks – but skewed by caught up in 1 crash this race in 2010 ? just 2 cents worth – Comments, criticism, cantankerous statements Thx again for all your in depth info each week ….
August 23, 2012 @ 9:02 pm
I remember the end of the race pretty clearly from earlier this year. I also have a DVD recorder and review old races.
I don’t have any issues with Johnson this week. I’m just not really feeling it for him this week. I probably did underrate him though.
Also make sure you read the post happy hour fantasy content. My preview is kind of a shot in the dark because lots of things are unknown this week. Following the truck race I think it will be a two groove track with the low line being the fast line.
August 23, 2012 @ 10:55 pm
cyberCops#48SixTime – [Summer 2,865/ Season 6.586.] – Thx RR & all … failed to mention another thought I read [perhaps k-wise] – basically with the new track so unpredictable, treat it like a plate T’dega/Daytona or road course – would love to start 48 or E. Jr but only 3 left & certainly wouldn’t want to waste them to a Demol Derby … IF it could get that bad with 18 only having R’mond left !? —– Other board suggests 17, 15, 88 are ” safe ” and can run low, inside – ‘ bottom-feeders ‘ ?
Don’t ya love this midnite craziness w/ lockdown 0500 hrs ….. ol’ cop’s 2 cents.
August 24, 2012 @ 3:57 pm
I honestly don’t think Bristol will be “plate race unpredictable”. I think Bruton Smith didn’t live up to his promise of changing it the track. Only the top lane is gone. It still has two but I think the winner will be somebody who can stick to the bottom.