Drivers to avoid in the Homestead-Miami Ford EcoBoost 400
Juan Pablo Montoya – Montoya is a high risk option for the season finale. In six races at Homestead he has two lead lap finishes and has had a result of 31st or worse two-thirds of the time. This season at high-speed intermediate tracks Montoya has a 19.5 average finish. His average finish is a pretty good indicator as to what you should expect. He only has one finish on this track type this season that I would consider a bad outlier. In the Ford EcoBoost 400 I would look for him to finish between 17th and 25th. (Yahoo! B Driver)
Jeff Burton – Have you trusted Burton this season? I’m guessing you haven’t. Now’s not the time to start. Resist the urge. Except for short tracks and restrictor plate tracks this team has underperformed this season. At 1.5 mile tracks this season he has a 21.9 average finish and has ran in the top fifteen for just 7% of the laps. In the ten races at these venues he’s only finished in the top fifteen twice. Last year at Homestead Burton finished 10th but don’t look for him to replicate that feat.
Bobby Labonte – There’s no fantasy value in Labonte unless the track is a high attrition venue. Homestead isn’t that type of place. This weekend Labonte’s mind is probably more focused on fishing than it is on racing. Since 2005 Labonte has really struggled here. His best finish in this seven race stretch is 22nd and his average finish is 30.1. In the last five races at 1.5 mile tracks Labonte has a 28.6 average finish. (Yahoo! C Driver)
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Regan Smith – Regan Smith has gotten better every time he’s raced at Homestead. Last year he finished 13th but it’s important to note he only ran in the top fifteen for 11.6% of the laps run. His average running position was 21st. This will be Smith’s first race in the #51 at an intermediate track. It takes time to get adjusted to things and there’s no way this team will click in 1 race. The #51 has been far from competitive this season. At high-speed intermediate tracks they have a 24.6 average finish for the season. (Yahoo! B Driver)
David Ragan – Engineering dependent aero tracks like Homestead have been a problem for him all year long. His best finish at one of these venues this season is 20th. In the thirteen races at high speed intermediate tracks he has a 27.6 average finish and a 28.8 average running position. If you’re a desperate fantasy racer now’s not the time to jump on his bandwagon. (Yahoo! C Driver)
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