Atlanta Advocare 500 Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions
Denny Hamlin – Last year in the Atlanta Advocare 500 Denny Hamlin emerged victorious. He started in 7th, had a 2nd place average running position, led 105 laps and earned the best driver rating. I wouldn’t say he had the best car but he was definitely top 3 (thought Jeff Gordon and Martin Truex Jr. were better). What happened is that late in the race Martin Truex Jr. was leading but a caution came out and at that time Hamlin was running in third. Then during the final pit stop his pit crew got him off pit road first. All he had to do then was hang on for the win because the dominant car spun his tires during the restart. In 2011 at Atlanta he finished 8th. In 2010 he won the pole, led 74 laps but was sidelined early due to engine problems. This season on 1.5 mile tracks Hamlin has shown some speed but he’s had a volatile track record.
Juan Pablo Montoya – Juan Pablo Montoya hasn’t shown any muscle on 1.5 mile tracks this season. In the five races on these venues he’s finished between 16th and 20th four times. His one finish not in this range was a 27th at Kansas. Last season at Atlanta he had a forgettable performance. He qualified 33rd and finished 21st. The race wasn’t problem free for him. During the second pit cycle he got a speeding penalty. At the time of that incident he was running in 21st. Also in the race he got into the wall with 84 laps to go. Atlanta has been somewhat of a good oval track for him. His four next most recent finishes are 15th, 9th, 3rd and 3rd.
Recommended Reading – Atlanta Review Recap, Atlanta Top Tier Elite Picks, Atlanta Front Runner Rankings, Yahoo! C List Fantasy NASCAR Picks
Jamie McMurray – Atlanta hasn’t been a good track for Jamie McMurray. Since 2009 he has a 22.4 average finish, 20.0 average running position and the 25th best driver rating. In three of these six races he finished in the mid teens and in the other three races he finished in the twenties. In last seasons race he was pretty uncompetitive for most of the event and ran below 20th. Then during a late run he was running in the mid teens. Then with 5 laps to go he hit the wall hard which took away Martin Truex Jr.’s near certain victory. This season on 1.5 mile tracks McMurray hasn’t been a bad fantasy option. Not many people think about him on this track type but for the season he has a 11.4 average finish. That’s tied with Carl Edwards for the sixth best this year. One reason for optimism is his 2nd place finish at the last 1.5 mile track visited.
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