Greg Biffle 2014 Stats: Points Finish 14th, 0 Poles, 0 Wins, 3 Top Fives, 11 Top Tens, Average Running Position 17.8, Average Finish 16.4, Laps Led 110, Driver Rating 77.7
Strengths – Greg Biffle is a versatile driver who’s capable of performing well at every track type. The main question pertaining to his level of competitiveness revolves around if Roush Fenway Racing has improved their cars and found speed.
One notable strength of Biffle’s is his consistency. Over the last three seasons his top twenty finish percentage is 82.3.
Weaknesses – Right now his weakness is his team. Among the “power teams” Roush Fenway Racing ranks near the bottom of the list in terms of how well their cars perform.
Track Type Fantasy ValueKey=Elite > High > Moderate >Low
Intermediate Track Fantasy Value – High
2014 was a down year for Greg Biffle on intermediate tracks and there’s no question about that. NASCAR is a cyclical sport and I expect Roush Fenway Racing to find some speed in the off-season. Historically this track type has been Biffle’s best. Last season at intermediate tracks he had 1 top five and 4 top tens. His average finish for the year was 19.6. In terms of points accumulated he scored the 20th most points. In 2013 on this track type he scored the 11th most points.
Look for his best intermediate track performances to come at Michigan, Texas and Auto Club Speedway.
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Flat Track Fantasy Value – High
Greg Biffle performed well at flat tracks last season. In 2014 at these venues he scored the 9th most points and had a 13.0 average finish. There was nothing flashy about him in these races but he was consistent. In the 7 races on this track type he had 2 top tens but finished in the top twenty 100% percent of the time.
His best flat track is Pocono. In 3 of the last four races at that venue he’s finished in the top ten. Last season he had results of 5th and 16th. In 2013 he swept the top ten and finished 2nd and 10th. Indy is the other big flat track and he’s also performed well there having a 13.2 average finish. In the last two Indy races he’s had results of 13th and 24th. In the five races prior to the last two he had five straight top tens.
The shorter flat tracks haven’t been as friendly to Biffle. At New Hampshire in the last five races he has one top ten and four results in the mid to upper teens. At Phoenix since the reconfiguration he’s finished in the top seventeen every race and has an 11.3 average finish.
In 2013 Biffle scored the 8th most points on this track type.
Short Track Fantasy Value – Moderate
I would consider Biffle’s fantasy value as a “High-Moderate” on short tracks. At these venues in 2014 he scored the 8th most points and had a 14.5 average finish. His strength was his consistency. Biffle only had one top ten result but he did finish in the top twenty 100% percent of the time.
At Martinsville Biffle has been solid recently. Since 2012 he has a 12.0 average finish. Last season he had results of 13th and 18th. Prior to last season he had three straight top tens.
Bristol has historically been his best short track. In 24 races he’s finished in the top five 25% percent of the time, top ten 54% percent of the time and top twenty 88% percent of the time. His Bristol average finish is 11.9. In the last four Bristol races he’s finished between 9th and 12th.
Richmond is his least successful short track. Last season he had results of 15th and 19th. If you’re looking to pick him there you shouldn’t get your hopes too high. He finished 9th there in 2012 but to find his next most recent top ten you have to look all the way back to 2006.
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Restrictor Plate Track Fantasy Value – High
Greg Biffle is one of the best drafters in NASCAR. He doesn’t make the best decisions when he’s leading but when he’s in the pack he knows how to make smart moves and get to the front. In 2014 he had one top ten at each plate track.
Last season at Daytona he finished 8th in the Daytona 500. In July he ran well but finished 29th after being involved in “The Big One”. If you’re looking to pick him at Daytona select him for the 500. In the last three Daytona 500’s he has a 5.7 average finish. At Talladega last fall he finished 25th. In spring 2014 he had one of the best cars. In that event he finished 2nd, earned the 2nd best driver rating and led the most laps (58).
Road Course Track Fantasy Value – High
Greg Biffle is a capable road course racer. Don’t look for him to win but he should come home with a solid result. Last year at road courses he scored the 5th most points, swept the top ten and had an 8.5 average finish. At Sonoma last season he finished 9th. In four of the last five races at that west coast track he’s finished in the top nine. In 12 races at Sonoma he has a 13.8 average finish and has had a result in the top ten 50% percent of the time.
At Watkins Glen he’s finished in the top ten in two of the last three races. Last season he finished 8th.