Dover Personal / Comparative Fantasy Values
Drivers have two types of fantasy value every week. They have Personal Fantasy Value, and Comparative Fantasy Value.
Personal Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver is at a certain track compared to the other venues on the circuit.
Comparative Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver compares to the competition at a certain track.
The levels of fantasy value from best to worst are … > High > Medium-High > Medium > Low
Let’s talk about Denny Hamlin’s Fantasy Values for Dover.
His Personal Fantasy Value is Medium. By any measure it doesn’t rank very highly for him among the 23 tracks on the schedule. It’s home to his 18th best average finish (18.2) and just over a third of the time he’s finished in the top ten.
His Comparative Fantasy Value is Medium-High. Last year he ran well in both races and swept the top ten. He’s also entering the race with a good amount of momentum having finished in the top eleven in 4 of the last 5 races. Based on his overall track record I just can’t rank him as a “High” driver among his piers.
[themify_box]Fantasy Tip: This post is aimed to help those in allocation based leagues.[/themify_box]
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Driver | Personal | Comparative |
---|---|---|
Martin Truex Jr. | High | High |
Kyle Larson | High | High |
Brad Keselowski | High | High |
Kevin Harvick | High | High |
Kyle Busch | High | High |
Jamie McMurray | Medium | Medium-High |
Chase Elliott | High | High |
Jimmie Johnson | High | High |
Clint Bowyer | High | High |
Joey Logano | High | High |
Denny Hamlin | Medium | Medium-High |
Ryan Blaney | Medium-High | Medium-High |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | Medium-High | Medium-High |
Kurt Busch | Medium | Medium-High |
Matt Kenseth | High | High |
Trevor Bayne | Low | Medium |
Ryan Newman | Medium | Medium |
Erik Jones | Medium | Medium-High |
Daniel Suarez | Medium | Medium |
Kasey Kahne | High | Medium-High |
Austin Dillon | Medium | Medium-High |
Ty Dillon | Medium | Medium |
Dale Earnhardt Jr. | Medium-High | Medium-High |
Paul Menard | Medium-High | Medium |
Chris Buescher | Medium | Low |
Michael McDowell | Low | Low |
AJ Allmendinger | Medium | Medium |
Danica Patrick | Medium | Low |
Regan Smith | Low | Medium |