Dover Personal / Comparative Fantasy Values

Credit: Robert Laberge/NASCAR via Getty Images

Drivers have two types of fantasy value every week. They have Personal Fantasy Value, and Comparative Fantasy Value.

Personal Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver is at a certain track compared to the other venues on the circuit.

Comparative Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver compares to the competition at a certain track.

The levels of fantasy value from best to worst are … > High > Medium-High > Medium > Low

Let’s talk about Denny Hamlin’s Fantasy Values for Dover.

His Personal Fantasy Value is Medium. By any measure it doesn’t rank very highly for him among the 23 tracks on the schedule. It’s home to his 18th best average finish (18.2) and just over a third of the time he’s finished in the top ten.

His Comparative Fantasy Value is Medium-High. Last year he ran well in both races and swept the top ten. He’s also entering the race with a good amount of momentum having finished in the top eleven in 4 of the last 5 races. Based on his overall track record I just can’t rank him as a “High” driver among his piers.

[themify_box]Fantasy Tip: This post is aimed to help those in allocation based leagues.[/themify_box]

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Driver Personal Comparative
Martin Truex Jr. High High
Kyle Larson High High
Brad Keselowski High High
Kevin Harvick High High
Kyle Busch High High
Jamie McMurray Medium Medium-High
Chase Elliott High High
Jimmie Johnson High High
Clint Bowyer High High
Joey Logano High High
Denny Hamlin Medium Medium-High
Ryan Blaney Medium-High Medium-High
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Medium-High Medium-High
Kurt Busch Medium Medium-High
Matt Kenseth High High
Trevor Bayne Low Medium
Ryan Newman Medium Medium
Erik Jones Medium Medium-High
Daniel Suarez Medium Medium
Kasey Kahne High Medium-High
Austin Dillon Medium Medium-High
Ty Dillon Medium Medium
Dale Earnhardt Jr. Medium-High Medium-High
Paul Menard Medium-High Medium
Chris Buescher Medium Low
Michael McDowell Low Low
AJ Allmendinger Medium Medium
Danica Patrick Medium Low
Regan Smith Low Medium