Dover Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Ranking Picks

1) Kevin Harvick / Starting 6th – DraftKings Price $11,300 – FanDuel Price $14,000
Dover Fantasy Spin – Last year at Dover, nobody was better than Kevin Harvick. He clobbered the competition in the spring en route to victory lane, and in the fall he put on a display of domination until he had to make an extra pit stop late. This year his weekly level of performance hasn’t been as high, but I still expect him to be one of the drivers to beat. On Sunday, look for Harvick to finish in the top five and compete for the win. In Happy Hour, Harvick had the 4th best 10 lap average, the 5th best 20 lap average and the 2nd best 30 lap average.
Dover Track History – Kevin Harvick has been a fantasy ace at Dover and in recent races he’s arguably been the best. In 2018, he was the class of the field in both races. Last fall, nobody was better than him but he finished a misleading 6th. In the race he won Stage #1, won Stage #2 and led 286 laps. Unfortunately, his race wasn’t incident free. With 78 laps to go while he was the leader he pitted twice because of loose wheel. At one point he had a 10 second lead over 2nd place. Last spring, Harvick was dominant. He finished 1st, won Stage #1, won Stage #2, led 201 laps and had a 2nd place average running position. In fall 2017, he had a great car and was a top five contender but finished an asterisk mark 17th. On lap 229 while he was running around 6th he made an unexpected pit stop for a loose wheel that dropped him two laps down. The race lacked cautions so that was a “death sentence” for his competitive afternoon. In spring 2017, Harvick had a strong car but finished a misleading 9th. “Performance wise”, I thought he was top five good but a caution during the pit cycle with 71 laps to go dropped him from about 4th to 16th. Additionally from the race it should be noted Harvick finished 3rd in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2 and earned the 5th best driver rating.

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2) Kyle Larson / Starting 3rd – DraftKings Price $8,000 – FanDuel Price $10,600
Dover Fantasy Spin – Kyle Larson has been fast at Dover and I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s a factor to win. At Dover, he has an 8.5 average finish and has only once finished lower than 12th. “Performance Wise”, he’s been good enough to win three races here in the past. That said, 2019 has been a horrendous year for him and nothing has gone right. Over the last five races heading into the weekend he’s finished 18th or worse. In Happy Hour, Larson was impressive. He had the best 10, 15 and 20 lap averages.
Dover Track History – Dover has been a great track for Austin Dillon. He has an 8.5 average finish and in 9 of his 10 races he’s finished in the top 12. Last fall, Larson had a solid showing. He finished 12th, had a 14th place average running position and earned the 14th best driver rating. Last spring he had a good performance and finished 10th. That’s notable because in that race he started in the rear of the field and had to overcome a pit road penalty. In 2017, Larson was a contender to win both races. In fall 2017 he had a great car. He finished 5th, earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 4th place average running position and led 137 laps. Additionally, he won Stage #2 and finished 6th in Stage #1. In spring 2017 nobody was better than him. He earned the best driver rating, led 241 laps, finished 2nd and had a 3rd place average running position. If there wasn’t a late caution, Larson would’ve easily raced his way to victory lane.