Kentucky Fantasy NASCAR Top Tier Elite Picks
Martin Truex Jr. – Martin Truex Jr. has back to back wins at Kentucky and on Saturday night the road to victory lane goes through him. Not only has he won the last two races here, he’s done it in dominate fashion leading a ton of laps and winning all the Stages. Over the three combined races on the current Kentucky layout he has the best driver rating, the best average finish (4.0), the best average running position (3.0) and he’s led the most laps (372). Last year at Kentucky, there’s no question he had the best car. He started first, finished first, won the first two Stages, led 174 laps and earned a near perfect driver rating. In 2017, Truex Jr. was the class of the field and easily raced his way to victory lane. With 15 laps to go he had a 14.1 second lead. Additionally, he won the first two Stages, earned a near perfect driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position and led 152 laps. In 2016, Truex Jr. was very strong. He earned the 3rd best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position, finished 10th and led 46 laps. “Strength wise”, he was easily top five good but he got a costly pit road penalty while running in 2nd and then fuel mileage burned him a little at the end. At Charlotte, one of the most recent 1.5 mile tracks visited he led 116 laps and raced his way to victory lane despite getting into the wall hard early. On Saturday night, look for Truex Jr. to finish in the top five and compete for the win.
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Joey Logano – Joey Logano will be one of the drivers to beat at Kentucky. He’s been one of the best performers at intermediate tracks this year and there’s no reason to think he’ll be a fantasy let down. Over the last three races held at high-speed intermediate tracks he’s come home with results of 1st (Michigan), 2nd (Charlotte) and 3rd (Chicagoland). On Saturday night, I would look for Logano to finish in the top five and potentially be a factor to win. At Kentucky on the current layout, Logano is 2 for 2 in terms of finishing in the top ten in incident free races. Last year, Logano ran well. He finished 10th, earned the 10th best driver rating and had a 9th place average running position. In 2017, he finished 8th. Additionally, he earned the 11th best driver rating and had a 13th place average running position. In 2016, Logano had a short race but showed top ten potential. On lap 41 while he was running around 8th he had contact with the wall and damaged his car. On lap 54 his tire went flat and he crashed hard into the wall hard which led to his 39th place finish.
Brad Keselowski – Brad Keselowski has run well at Kentucky and on Saturday night he’ll be a factor. He’s been one of the best performers at 1.5 mile tracks this year and I think he’ll compete for a top five and perhaps be in the mix for the win. This year at 1.5 mile tracks minus Texas, Keselowski has a 5.6 average finish and a 9.0 average running position. At Kentucky, Keselowski was the inaugural winner on the current layout and in all three races he’s been top ten good. Last year, Keselowski had a great car. When the checkered flag waved he finished 3rd, earned the 5th best driver rating, had a 10th place average running position and led 38 laps. In 2017, Keselowski had a short race and finished 39th after wrecking on lap #88 during the Stage #2 restart. At the end of Stage #1 he finished around 12th. Prior to his problem he consistently ran within a few deviations of 10th. In 2016, Keselowski raced his way to victory lane. In addition to winning he earned the second best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and led 75 laps. In the race he passed Harvick who dominated much of the race for the lead, and then pushed his fuel mileage to the limit which allowed him to reach victory lane.
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Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier