We’re at New Hampshire Motor Speedway this weekend for a 301-lap event around the 1-mile track. Yep, this weekend’s race is only 301 miles in length but that is still quite a haul for these Cup Series drivers. As far as New Hampshire goes, it’s a flat track and compares nicely to Phoenix, which we raced at back in February this year. Phoenix compares well to Richmond, so you can throw that track in, too, and I like to include Martinsville as well, since it’s a flat track, although it’s half the length of New Hampshire. Aric Almirola is on the pole for this weekend’s race and you can click here for the full starting lineup for Loudon.
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Final Top 25 Fantasy NASCAR Rankings for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301
1. Kevin Harvick – Starts 7th – DraftKings Price: $11,600 – FanDuel Price: $14,200 – Slingshot Price: $13,100
After a massive letdown at Kansas last race (only to be salvaged late by a 4th-place finish), I’m still dipping in to the Kevin Harvick well this week, as I mentioned in my Slingshot Picks article. Here are my thoughts: I’m willing to give Kevin Harvick and Rodney Childers a mulligan on the basis that night races haven’t been crazy good for them this year. So on to New Hampshire, where there’s no doubt that most people will be all over the Joe Gibbs Racing Toyotas–and I don’t blame them. They finally seem to have found some speed, and Loudon has been a great track for all of them lately. But you know who it’s been an even better track for? Kevin Harvick. The guy has won the last two races here as well as three of the last five. And he hasn’t dominated any of them–he’s just been there at the end. Harvick also has seven top 5 finishes in his last nine New Hampshire starts. I don’t think Harvick leads the most laps on Sunday, and he may not even lead 20, but I think he’ll lead the most important one of the day, and that’s the last one.
2. Denny Hamlin – Starts 2nd – DraftKings Price: $10,400 – FanDuel Price: $13,400 – Slingshot Price: $12,100
Denny Hamlin should contend for the win here at Loudon on Sunday. He’s a three-time winner at this race track and has the best average finish (9.9) of all active drivers here. Recently, Hamlin has had some disappointing results (13th in 2018, 12th in 2017, and 15th in 2016) but he’s also had some great finishes (2nd in 2019, a win in 2017, and a 2nd in 2015). As far as similar tracks go this season, Denny had that early incident at Phoenix which relegated him to a 20th-place finish, and then we all remember how the Gibbs cars sucked so much at Martinsville, and Hamlin came home 24th. Still, this #11 team already has five wins this year and will likely add more. It could be this weekend; looking at Green Flag Speed, Denny has now ranked 3rd or better in that category five times over the last seven races. Don’t forget, Hamlin has the best pit stall on Sunday thanks to winning at Kansas.
3. Kyle Busch – Starts 5th – DraftKings Price: $9,300 – FanDuel Price: $12,600 – Slingshot Price: $12,500
In a somewhat surprising turn of events, my algorithm predicts that Kyle Busch will win here on Sunday. Well, it’s surprising to me anyway, because Rowdy hasn’t really legitimately challenged for any wins this year…but we all know he’s going to break through soon. Busch is a three-time winner at New Hampshire Motor Speedway and has led a series-best 1,128 laps here. Next best in that category? Kevin Harvick with 759. Rowdy’s last win here came from the pole in 2017, and over the last six events at this 1-mile track he’s wound up 8th or better five times. He’s also led 95+ laps in three of the last four here, and the exception was the 2018 race when he led 36 laps and still finished 2nd. Kyle ran 3rd at Phoenix earlier this year and I think he should be able to do the same here at Loudon on Sunday. Hell, maybe he does finally get his first win!?