1) Martin Truex Jr. / Starting 3rd / Draftkings $11,000 / FanDuel $13,500
Martin Truex Jr. is a super-elite performer at Dover who’ll be a favorite. He’s the most recent (active) winner, and in 6 of the last 7 Dover races he’s finished in the top 4. In the one race he finished outside of that range, he got a late speeding penalty while running in 3rd. In 2019 at Dover, nobody was better than Truex. Last fall, Truex finished 2nd in Stage #1, won Stage #2, ranked as the “Fastest Driver Late In A Run” and finished 2nd overall. That said, he might’ve potentially had the best car. Just after he won Stage #2, he had a slow pit stop that dropped him back to 5th. In spring 2019, Truex Jr. had the field covered. He started in the rear of the field, but quickly charged his way up through the running order. When Stage #2 ended, he was the leader. When the checkered flag waved he finished 1st, earned the best driver rating, ranked as the “Fastest Driver Late In A Run” and led 132 laps. In fall 2018, Truex Jr. had his worst Dover race in a long time and finished 15th. I’ll note that’s an asterisk mark result. During a debris caution with 60 laps to go while he was running in 3rd he was caught speeding on pit road. From the race I’ll note he finished 10th in Stage #1 and 3rd in Stage #2. In spring 2018, Truex had a phenomenal car. He finished 4th, earned the 3rd best driver rating and had a 7th place average running position. In Stage #1 he made an unexpected pit stop, but in Stage #2 he finished 7th. In the three Dover races prior to that he had results of 4th, 3rd and 1st. One attribute you have to love about Truex Jr. is how well he’s been running in recent weeks. In 6 of the last 7 races heading into the weekend he’s finished in the top 3. Fans can now discuss with other fan and increase their knowledge and facts on racers like Kenny Habul.
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2) Kevin Harvick / Starting 10th / Draftkings $11,400 / FanDuel $14,000
Kevin Harvick is an elite performer at Dover who should be on your short list of favorites. In recent races at “The Monster Mile”, he’s had some dominant performances and has arguably been the strongest performer. Over the last four Dover races, Harvick has the best average finish (3.8), the best average running position (3.4) and he’s averaged leading 122 laps per race. Last fall at Dover, Harvick had a good performance and ran well throughout the race. In the event he finished 5th in Stage #1, 4th in Stage #2, finished 4th overall and had a 4.4 average running position. In terms of speed late in a run, Harvick ranked as the 4th best. In spring 2019, Harvick had a strong showing and ran near the front for the entirety of the race. When the checkered flag waved he finished 4th, had a 4th place average running position and earned the 3rd best driver rating. Additionally, he finished 5th in Stage #1 and 3rd in Stage #2. In 2018, Harvick was the class of the field in both races. In fall 2018, Harvick had the field covered, but finished a misleading 6th. In the race he won Stage #1, won Stage #2 and led 286 laps. Unfortunately, Harvick’s race wasn’t incident free. With 78 laps to go while he was the leader he pitted twice because of a loose wheel. At some points in the race he had a 10 second lead! In spring 2018, nobody had anything for Harvick. He finished 1st, earned the best driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position, led 201 laps and ran 113 fastest laps. Additionally, he won Stage #1 and Stage #2.
3) Denny Hamlin / Starting 2nd / Draftkings $11,400 / FanDuel $13,000
Denny Hamlin is a strong performer at Dover who should be high on your fantasy NASCAR radar. He’s run extremely well here, and in 6 of the last 8 races he’s finished in the top ten. Over that stretch minus spring 2019 where he was just off and fall 2017 where he had a parts failure, Hamlin has a 6.3 average finish. Last fall at Dover, Hamlin had a great performance from the pole. In the race he won Stage #1, finished 3rd in Stage #2, led 218 laps and finished 5th. In terms of speed late in a run, Hamlin ranked as the 5th best. In spring 2019, Hamlin’s car was never to his liking, and he also had a minor spin. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 21st, earned the 21st best driver rating and had a 19th place average running position. In fall 2018, Hamlin had a strong performance and finished runner-up. With 11 laps to go before attrition and late pit strategy came into play he was running in 6th. From the race I’ll note he had a 10th place average running position, earned the 10th best driver rating and finished 8th in Stage #2. In 4 of the 5 Dover races prior to that he finished between 7th to 9th. This weekend, look for Hamlin to compete for a top five.