This is a very tough weekend to find value on the betting board. We’re at a track that has never run Cup cars before, and NASCAR hasn’t been here in 10 years. Without recent track data, what do we lean on? The smart answer is tread lightly with bets. The degenerate answer is to look at semi-similar tracks like Dover or Darlington, other 750 HP races, and recent success. Let’s take a look and those three variable and see if we can find some betting value in Nashville!
Note: All bets are 1 unit unless otherwise stated.
Best Bet: Tyler Reddick Top 10 +125 2u – I mentioned this on twitter yesterday after practice, Reddick has finished T10 in seven of the last ten races, he had the fifth fastest lap in practice, and he got 200 miles of “extra practice” in the Xfinity car yesterday. That extra track time should be a huge edge for guys like Byron, Preece (congrats on the Trucks win), Kyle Busch and Reddick.