The Low Tier – Texas

Landon Cassill – At Texas, Landon Cassill will once again be driving the #77, and I think he’s definitely been getting the most out of the equipment. Cassill just raced in all three races of the opening round of the Playoffs, and he went 3 for 3 at finishing between 22nd to 25th. At Kansas a few weeks ago, Cassill finished 24th. On the Cup level, Cassill hasn’t raced at Texas since 2019 and his results that season were 27th and 30th. On Sunday, I’m going to view him as a high-twenties driver who has upside thru attrition.

Cody Ware – At Texas, look for Cody Ware to be a high-twenties to low-thirties driver. This year in his two incident free races on this track type minus Charlotte where the attrition rate was extreme, Ware has results of 26th (Las Vegas) and 27th (Kansas #2). In terms of Total Speed Rankings over the combined events, Ware ranks 36th. Last fall at Texas, Ware crashed in the lap 30 “Big One” and finished 38th.

Garrett Smithley – At Texas, Garrett Smithley will be piloting the #15. I think he has a good chance for giving BJ McLeod a run for his money for fielding the least competitive car of the weekend. At Las Vegas, way back in March in his lone race held at a high-speed 1.5-mile track this year, Smithley finished 30th. Last fall at Texas, Smithley finished 24th, but take note there was a lot of carnage in that race.

BJ McLeod – Although I think Garrett Smithley will give him a run for his money for fielding the least competitive car, I’ll still put my money on McLeod. This year at high-speed intermediate tracks, he ranks last having Total Speed Rankings of 36th, 36th, 34th and 36th over the four events. In terms of average finish on this sub-track type, McLeod’s is 28.5. At Kansas a few weeks back, McLeod just finished 31st. Last fall at Texas, the attrition rate was extreme, and McLeod finished 22nd.

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