Kansas Hollywood Casino 400 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings / Post Practice Predictions

On Sunday, NASCAR will be returning to Kansas for the Hollywood Casino 400 for race #4 of the Playoffs! Kansas is an aging high-speed 1.5-mile track that has progressive banking. It offers drivers multiple grooves, and they can race from the top of the track to the bottom. This will be the sixth high-speed 1.5-mile track visited in 2026, so make sure you look back to those tracks which have correlation (2026 High-Speed 1.5-Mile Track Average Finishes / 2026 High-Speed 1.5-Mile Track Total Speed Rankings).
Here’s Kansas Qualifying Results/Starting Lineup (set by the metric due to rain).
Kansas Hollywood Casino 400 Full Field Fantasy Rankings
1) Christopher Bell
Start 3rd / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Kansas Fantasy Outlook – Christopher Bell is a super-elite performer at Kansas, and I have no doubt he’ll be a contender to win the Kansas Hollywood Casino 400. Bell was one of the best this spring and overall in the Next Gen, Bell ranks 2nd for Speed, 2nd for Driver Rating and has the 4th best average finish (10.0). In terms of the Next Gen results column minus this spring and spring 2023, Bell has a 4.9 average finish and he’s had a result in the top 8 every race. This spring, Bell was a contender to win but finished an asterisk mark 20th. In the race, Bell finished 5th in the two opening Stages, had a 6.2 average running position, led 47 laps and those all came in the final Stage, was in 4th to begin overtime but then on the last lap he was spun. Last fall, Bell was one of the best. In the race, Bell finished 3rd, had a 3.3 average running position, earned the 2nd best Driver Rating and led 43 laps. In terms of speed stats, Bell had the fastest car late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Last spring, Bell had a 3.1 average running position, earned the 2nd best Driver Rating and then finished 2nd. In terms of speed analytics, Bell ranked 2nd for Total Speed Rankings and 4th for Speed Late In A Run. Over the six races prior to that, Bell had results of 7th, 6th, 8th, 36th, 3rd and 5th. This year at high-speed 1.5’s, Bell ranks 2nd for Speed and minus Kansas and Texas his average finish is 2.7, and that’s highlighted by him finishing 2nd in the two most recent races.
DraftKings $10,200/ FanDuel $13,000
Further Recommended Reading = Kansas Projected Finish Ranges, DraftKings Kansas Scoring Projections, FanDuel Kansas Scoring Projections, Kansas Quick Rankings, Kansas Next Gen RPM, Kansas Next Gen Average Finishes, Kansas Next Gen Speed Rankings
2) Denny Hamlin
Start 6th / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Kansas Fantasy Outlook – 4-time Kansas winner, Denny Hamlin has performed at a super-elite level at this mid-west 1.5-mile track and in the Kansas Hollywood Casino 400, the road to victory lane might very well go thru him. In the Next Gen at Kansas, Hamlin ranks #1 for Speed, has the best Driver Rating and has the 2nd best average finish (7.1). In terms of the Next Gen results column minus 2025 #1, Hamlin has a 3.5 average finish and he’s 6 for 8 at finishing in the top 4. This spring, Hamlin led the most laps (131), won Stage #1, finished 2nd in Stage #2, earned the best Driver Rating, had the best average running position and then finished 4th overall. Before overtime came out, Hamlin was the leader, but the final restart didn’t go well for him. Last fall, Hamlin was impressive. In the race, Hamlin won the two opening Stages, led 159 laps, had a 1.9 average running position but finished 2nd overall. In the race, Hamlin dominated but then late in the race on lap 253 during a caution, the #11 team had a slow pit stop that dropped Hamlin from 1st back to 7th. Hamlin rallied hard late but came up short. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Hamlin ranked 1st. Last spring, Hamlin may have very well had something for Larson, but he had clutch issues which eventually marked his demise. In the race, Hamlin started 14th, finished 7th in Stage #1, finished 8th in Stage #2 but then finished an asterisk mark 36th. In the last Stage during the Keselowski caution around lap 195 while running in 4th, Hamlin’s clutch failed, marking the end of his race. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Hamlin ranked 4th with his speed over the segments being 13th, 1st and then 3rd. Over the other six Next Gen races prior to that, Hamlin had results of 8th, 5th, 2nd, 1st, 2nd and then 4th. This year at high-speed 1.5’s, Hamlin has 1-win, a series best 2.6 average finish and has the best Track Type Total Speed Ranking (1.4).
DraftKings $10,500/ FanDuel $13,500
3) Kyle Larson
Start 2nd / Projected Finish Range 1-6 / Dominator Potential – Medium-High
Kansas Fantasy Outlook – Kyle Larson’s a super-elite performer at Kansas and on Sunday, there’s no doubt the #5 is poised to be a factor. At Kansas in the Next Gen, Larson’s a 2-time winner, has the best average finish (5.8), he’s averaged leading the most laps per race (64.0), has the 2nd best average running position and ranks 3rd for both Speed and Driver Rating. In the Next Gen era minus 2024 #2, Larson’s average finish is 3.3 and he’s 6 for 8 at finishing in the top 4. This spring, Larson was a factor and even had the lead briefly in overtime. In the race, Larson finished 2nd in Stage #1, won Stage #2, led 78 laps, had a 3.0 average running position, earned the 3rd best Driver Rating and then finished 2nd overall. In terms of speed stats, Larson ranked 2nd for Speed Late In A Run and had the 3rd best Total Speed Ranking. Last fall, Larson was a contender throughout. In the race, Larson had a 4.5 average running position, earned the 4th best Driver Rating and then finished 6th. In terms of speed stats, Larson ranked 3rd for Total Speed Rankings and 3rd for Speed Late In A Run. Last spring en route to victory lane, Larson put on a display of domination. In the race, Larson won the pole, won the two opening Stages, earned a near perfect Driver Rating, had a 1.4 average running position, led 221 laps and of course finished 1st. In terms of speed stats, Larson had the best Total Speed Ranking and ranked 6th for Speed Late In A Run. In fall 2024, Larson finished 26th but you can quickly disregard that result. On lap 19 while running in 10th, Larson had a flat tire and slammed into the wall hard. Over the five races prior to that, Larson had results of 1st, 4th, 2nd, 8th and 2nd. This year at high-speed 1.5’s minus Texas and Chicagoland, Larson has a 4.7 average finish and a 4.0 average Speed Ranking.
DraftKings $11,000/ FanDuel $14,000