Ty Dillon – Ty Dillon has three races under his belt at Thunder Valley and his level of success hasn’t been high. His overall average finish is 25.3. Last summer he had a tough race and finished 36th after getting into the wall hard on lap 353. It should be noted he was really uncompetitive and wasn’t even mid-twenties good. Last spring he had his best Bristol race and came home with a 15th place finish. Additionally in the race he earned the 20th best driver rating and had a 21st place average running position. I would say he was aided by the high attrition rate. In spring 2016 he made his Bristol debut in the #14 and came home with a 25th place finish. His average running position for the afternoon was 17th. From a performance perspective he might’ve been able to come home with a low double digit finish but he was involved in a wreck with about 40 laps to go while running well.
Matt DiBenedetto – Bristol has been a good track for Matt DiBenedetto. It’s home to his all-time best result (6th) and his best average finish (20.3). There’s “horses for courses” and this seems to be his track. Heading into “Thunder Valley” I think he has a realistic shot to be a high-teens to low-twenties driver, you can’t say that about him at any other non-restrictor plate track. In 4 of his 6 races here he’s finished 21st or better. Last summer he didn’t have a good race by any standard. When the checkered flag waved he finished 26th and had a 27th place average running position. In the two Bristol races prior to that he had results of 17th and 19th. In spring 2016 he finished a career best 6th. The attrition rate was sky high that event but let’s give him credit for not wrecking.
David Ragan – Bristol has been one of the better tracks for David Ragan. Over the last three races he has a 20.3 average finish and a 24.3 average running position. Outside of plate tracks I would say this is his next best track. Last summer he finished 17th which marks his best result since 2013. Additionally he had a 20th place average running position. In the two races prior to that he had results of 21st and 23rd.
Michael McDowell – At Bristol I would view Michael McDowell as a low to mid-twenties driver. Over the last three races he has a 21.7 average finish and a 24.3 average running position. Last summer he finished 20th and had a 22nd place average running position. Last spring he finished 26th. In summer 2016 he finished 19th. Although he’s driving for a different team this year I would view a similar level of fantasy production from him.