Matt Kenseth – Phoenix has been a good track for Matt Kenseth and it will go into the history books as the place of his last win. Earlier this year he missed the race because he didn’t have a ride. Last fall he raced his way to victory lane and led 62 laps. In spring 2017 he was mid-teens good but had a flat tire and wrecked which led to his 37th place finish. In fall 2016 he led 55 laps and would’ve won if there wasn’t a late caution. That led to him getting wrecked which caused him to finish 21st. This year at shorter flat tracks visited Kenseth has results of 15th (New Hampshire) and 25th (Richmond). On Sunday I would look for him to be a high-teens to low-twenties driver.
Ty Dillon – Phoenix really hasn’t been that bad of a track for Ty Dillon. In 3 of his last 4 races he’s finished between 11th to 16th. On Sunday I’m not very high on Ty Dillon and I would lean towards him being a low-twenties driver. For the season on this sub-track type he has a 25.3 average finish and a 26.3 average running position. Earlier this year at Phoenix he didn’t have a good race and finished three laps down in 30th. His average running position for the afternoon was 25th. Last fall, Dillon had his best Phoenix race. In that event he finished 11th, earned the 11th best driver rating and had a 17th place average running position. In spring 2017 he crossed the finish line in 16th. Additionally, he had a 21st place average running position and earned the 21st best driver rating. I will note the late Green-White-Checker caution helped him a little bit because otherwise he was poised to finish in 20th. In spring 2016, Dillon drove the Stewart-Haas #14 and finished 15th.
AJ Allmendinger – I’m keeping expectations really low for AJ Allmendinger at Phoenix. This year at shorter flat tracks he simply has performed well. For the season at these venues he has a 28.3 average finish and a 29.0 average running position. Some good news is that this spring at Phoenix he had his best performance on this track type and finished 21st. Also in the race he had a 21st place average running position and earned had the 22nd best driver rating. In the eight Phoenix races prior to that he had four results between 16th and 17th and four results between 23rd and 26th. Last year he finished 23rd and 26th. In 2016 he had a pair of 17th place finishes.