Ty Dillon – At Atlanta look for Ty Dillon to be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. Last year at 1.5 mile tracks he almost always performed within that range. In the combined Playoff races at tracks of this length he had a 23rd place average finish and a 23.4 average running position. Last year at Atlanta Ty Dillon had a very respectable showing. When the checkered flag waved he finished 15th and earned the 14th best driver rating.
Michael McDowell – Michael McDowell isn’t a bad fantasy option for his tier. He gets the most out of his equipment and if things go well he might be a low-twenties driver. With this being his first race in the #34 at an intermediate track I’ll be watching him with great interest. At Atlanta McDowell has a miserable track record, but I wouldn’t read into it. Over the last three races he’s finished between 27th and 33rd. Last year he finished 29th.
David Ragan – Atlanta is David Ragan’s home track, and he’s a decent performer when you view him among “Low Tier” drivers. On Sunday I think it’s best to view him as a mid-twenties driver and then hope for the best. Over the last three Atlanta races he’s been in a different car every year so it’s hard to read his stats. Last year Ragan had a respectable showing, given his tier. He finished 23rd, had a 22nd place average running position and earned the 24th best driver rating. In 2016 he drove the #23 car which was “junk” and finished 32nd. In 2015 he drove the #18 and finished 18th. In his three starts prior to that when he drove the #34 he had results of 23rd, 27th and 28th.
Matt DiBenedetto – Matt DiBenedetto doesn’t have much upside, but if you’re looking for a mid-twenties to high-twenties finish from a “low-tier” driver he isn’t a bad option. At Atlanta DiBenedetto has two starts under his belt. Last year he finished 28th, in 2016 he finished 29th. Last year in the Playoffs at 1.5 mile tracks DiBenedetto had a 26.2 average finish.