Homestead Post Practice Fantasy NASCAR Predictions

I don’t know about you, but for me, this 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season has absolutely flown by. We’re at race 36 of 36 this weekend, Homestead-Miami Speedway, where we’re going to crown champions in both real life and the Fantasy NASCAR world. If you’re in the running for the league title, I wish you the best of luck on Sunday, and I hope I helped you at some point along the way. As always, thanks for reading all of the content here at ifantasyrace.com, and don’t forget that just because the NASCAR season takes a break, doesn’t mean ifantasyrace does (specifically Ryan). Be sure to check back frequently over the offseason for driver previews, mock drafts, and more.

Denny Hamlin won the pole for Sunday’s Ford EcoBosot 400 and the full starting lineup for the season finale can be found by clicking here. You can find the speeds for Saturday’s two practice sessions here: Practice #2 Speeds – Happy Hour Speeds. And don’t forget to read our in-depth notes for those practices either: Practice #2 Notes – Happy Hour Notes.

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Final Top 25 Rankings for Homestead

1. Kyle Busch – Starts 2nd – DraftKings Price: $11,800 – FanDuel Price: $13,500
**Risk Factor: Low Risk**

I had Kyle Busch as my Championship Winner earlier this week, and I’m not deviating from that. Not only will the #18 team have the best pit stall here on Sunday thanks to that gift from teammate Denny Hamlin, but they also have the best starting spot among the legitimate contenders (because Hamlin isn’t going to win this race). Additionally, Kyle Busch has been the best driver on the 1.5-mile tracks this season, boasting a series-best 5.2 average finish on them (that adjusts to 3.9 when you take out his worst result). Rowdy is also great here at Homestead-Miami Speedway, with five finishes between 1st and 7th in the last six races here, with the win coming in 2015, the year he won the championship. Finally, Chicagoland is the most similar track to Homestead on the schedule, and Kyle went to victory lane there this season (after starting 16th) and led the 2nd-most laps in that race (59 of 267). The #18 Toyota was 23rd- and 12th-fastest during the two practice sessions here on Saturday and ranked 9th- and 3rd-best when it came to ten-lap average.

2. Kyle Larson – Starts 11th – DraftKings Price: $10,000 – FanDuel Price: $12,500
**Risk Factor: Low Risk**

Kyle Larson hasn’t blown anyone away on the speed chart this weekend, but he’s still going to be one of the guys to beat on Sunday. On the long runs, this #42 Chevrolet is really fast, and that’s what it’s going to take to get it done here this weekend. In overall average speed, Larson ranked 3rd-best in Practice #2 on Saturday, while his ten-lap averages were 11th-best in both sessions. Don’t let that scare you, though; as the broadcasters mentioned, the #42 Chevrolet has terrible short run speed but is the best on the long run. As far as track history goes, Larson has finished inside the top 5 in the last three Homestead-Miami races and has led 277 laps over the last two. He’s also been great on the 1.5-mile tracks this season, with an adjusted average finish of 4.9 (3rd-best) and an average driver rating of 104.1 (4th-best). Kyle Larson is a great Fantasy NASCAR pick in all formats this weekend.

3. Joey Logano – Starts 5th – DraftKings Price: $10,600 – FanDuel Price: $13,500
**Risk Factor: Low Risk**

Many people–myself included–were mainly focused on a Kyle Busch/Kevin Harvick battle this weekend, but Joey Logano showed some great race speed on Saturday and could end up hoisting the trophy here at Homestead on Sunday. As far as ten-lap average goes, Logano was P1 on that chart in Practice #2 and the best in Happy Hour as well, which shows he has great long run speed. Additionally, Logano has finished between 4th and 6th here at Homestead each of the last three years, so it’s not like he doesn’t know how to get around this place. Overall, Joey is averaging a finish of 7.7 on 1.5-mile tracks this season, and that’s 3rd-best among the Cup Series garage, right behind Kyle Busch (5.2) and Martin Truex, Jr. (7.2). This #22 Ford probably isn’t quite fast enough to go take the win on the race track, but with this pit crew being so fast, it wouldn’t surprise me one bit to see Logano as our 2018 champion.