Martinsville Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions
Ty Dillon
Martinsville Fantasy Spin – At Martinsville, look for Ty Dillon to likely finish within a few deviations of 20th. That’s how the #42 typically stacks up against the competition on a weekly basis in 2022, and he’s frequently finished around 20th in many of his previous Cup starts at “The Paper Clip.” For the season minus the superspeedways, Ty Dillon has a 19.2 average finish.
Martinsville Track History – At Martinsville, Ty Dillon has eight starts under his belt and his overall average finish is 20.5. In 6 of his 8 starts he’s finished within a deviation of 5 from 20th. In 2020 when Dillon most recently raced here in the #13, he finished 16th in the fall and then 22nd in the spring.
Cole Custer
Martinsville Fantasy Spin – At Martinsville, Cole Custer’s level of success has been low and over the last three races his average finish is 18th. This year on the track, Custer’s shown limited potential at times, but he hasn’t done so consistently so he’s hard to trust. On Saturday night, I would view him as a high-teens to low-twenties driver.
Martinsville Track History – At Martinsville, Cole Custer has four starts under his belt and over the last three as you just read his average finish is 18th. Last fall, Custer was a low 20’s performer. In the race he finished 23rd, had a 21.4 average running position and had the 26th best Total Speed Ranking. I’ll note, on lap 357 he spun while running in 18th, but it’s hard to say that impacted him too much. In spring 2021, Custer came home 18th, but I’ll note attrition bumped him up a little. Additionally, Custer had a 24.3 average running position and the 27th best Total Speed Ranking. In fall 2020, Custer had his best Martinsville performance. That afternoon he finished 13th, had a 13.9 average running position and had the 14th best Total Speed Ranking. In summer 2020 when he made his track debut, SHR cars had battery problems across the board, and nobody was spared. That said, Custer didn’t look good to begin with. When the checkered flag waved, Custer finished 29th and had a 28th place average running position. I’ll note, Custer did make an unexpected pit stop with 19 laps to go, but at that time he was already 6 laps down in 28th.
Justin Haley
Martinsville Fantasy Spin – At Martinsville, I think Justin Haley has high-teens to low-twenties potential. That’s basically how the #31 team stacks up to the competition on a weekly basis, and I think there’s a good chance that will continue to be the case in his current ride.
Martinsville Track History – At Martinsville, I would basically view Justin Haley as a driver without a track record, since his two prior starts in the #77 are that bad. Last fall, Haley finished 31st and had a 31.3 average running position. In spring 2021, Haley was swept up in the “Big One” and finished 35th. On lap 376 which was shortly before his demise, Haley was running in 27th.
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