Nashville Fantasy Spin – Tyler Reddick will be a fantasy tease at Nashville. Reddick has shown a lot of potential at tracks that have correlation, but his “Buzz saw” finish rate has been pretty high this year, even though he’s run really well. At shorter-flat tracks this year, Reddick has the 6th best Total Speed Ranking over the combined events. At Dover, Reddick had a troubled race, but I’m not going to read into it too much. If Reddick can have an incident free race, I think he’s a top ten contender.
Nashville Track History – Last year at Nashville, Tyler Reddick didn’t have a great debut and finished 18th. I’ll note, his race also wasn’t incident free. During the first green flag pit stop, Reddick spun on the access road leaving pit road which brought out the caution. Just prior to the green flag pit cycle he was running in 12th. Following that incident, he rebounded up to the mid-teens, but that’s about as high as he reached in the running order. In terms of speed analytics from the event, Reddick was the 17th Fastest Driver Late In A Run, had the 19th best Total Speed Ranking and had the 20th best Green Flag Speed. Additionally, Reddick’s average running position for the afternoon was 18.9.
Nashville Fantasy Spin – NASCAR’s newest winner, and our amigo, Daniel Suarez shouldn’t be overlooked at Nashville. Getting that first “W” is huge, and will help boost his confidence across the board. At Nashville, Suarez ran great last year, and this year at tracks that have correlation he’s been respectable. Dover is arguably the most similar track, and at that venue he finished 14th. At shorter-flat tracks this year, Suarez has results of 9th (Phoenix), 16th (Richmond) and 23rd (Gateway). At Nashville, I’m going to view Suarez as a low double-digit to mid-teens driver.
Nashville Track History – Daniel Suarez had a solid showing last year at Nashville in front of his hometown sponsor (Tootsies), but I’ll note he wasn’t quite as good as his result and “Performance Wise” I’m viewing him as a low double-digit performer. In the race, Suarez started mid-pack in 22nd, but when the checkered flag waved, he finished 7th. Additionally, Suarez had a 14.6 average running position, was the 6th Fastest Driver Late In A Run and ranked 14th for both Green Flag Speed and Total Speed Ranking. I’ll note, Suarez benefitted from the long final green flag run and with 30 laps to go, Suarez was in 12th.
Nashville Fantasy Spin – At Nashville, don’t overlook Aric Almirola. Almirola had a great performance last year in “Music City”, and racing at shorter-flat tracks has been a primary strength of the #10 team. Over the eight combined races at shorter-flat tracks + Nashville since 2021, Almirola’s 9.9 average finish ranks as the 5th best in the series. This year at shorter-flat tracks, Almirola has results of 5th (Gateway), 12th (Phoenix) and 21st (Richmond). At Dover this spring, Almirola had the 18th best Total Speed Ranking and finished 19th. At Nashville, I’m going to view him as a low double-digit to mid-teens driver who has a good chance to sneak in a top ten.
Nashville Track History – Aric Almirola had a great performance at Nashville last year, and in trivia if you are ever asked who won the first Cup pole at “Music City”, the answer is Aric Almirola. In 2021 at Nashville, Almirola ran near the front throughout the race. In the event he finished 4th, had a 6.4 average running position, had the 3rd best Total Speed Ranking, the 3rd best Green Flag Speed, was the 4th Fastest Driver Late In A Run and led a whopping 1 lap from the first starting position.