New Hampshire Dollar Tree 301 Fantasy NASCAR Top Tier Elite Picks

Joey Logano
New Hampshire Fantasy Outlook – Joey Logano is a super elite performer at New Hampshire who should be high on your radar. Logano’s a 2-time winner and in 4 of the last 6 races, he’s finished in the top 4. In the Next Gen over the combined races, Logano ranks 2nd for Driver Rating, 4th for Speed but has a 15.5 average finish which underrates him via two misleading results. When it comes to racing at shorter-flat tracks, Logano is as good as they come. He’s won 2 of the last 3 races on this track type and in 2026 over the combined races, he ranks #1 for Speed. In terms of the results column on this track type going back to last year, in 6 of the last 8 races he’s finished in the top 5.
New Hampshire History – Joey Logano is one of the best in the business at New Hampshire. He’s a 2-time winner and in 12 of the last 15 races he’s finished in the top 11. Going back to 2017 #2 minus misleading results in 2024 and 2022, Logano’s average finish is 6.0. Last year, Logano was a factor. In the race, Logano started on the pole, led 147 laps, had a 2.0 average running position, earned the 2nd best Driver Rating and then finished 4th overall. In terms of speed stats, Logano ranked 2nd for Total Speed Rankings and then 5th for Speed Late In A Run. In 2024, Logano was a top five contender but finished an asterisk mark 32nd. In the race, Logano started 6th, finished 2nd in Stage #1, finished 3rd in Stage #2 but then during the restart for the final Stage after pit strategy dropped him back to 11th, he had contact with Elliott and crashed. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Logano ranked 9th but take note his speed over the segments were 2nd, 4th, 3rd and then 33rd. In 2023, Logano was a contender. In the race, Logano finished 2nd, earned the 2nd best Driver Rating and had a 5.3 average running position. In terms of speed stats, Logano had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking and ranked 7th for Speed Late In A Run. In 2022, Logano finished 24th but you can get out an asterisk mark for that race since he was top ten good, but his race wasn’t incident free. In the race, Logano finished 4th in Stage #2, led 25 laps, had a 6th place average running position but then on lap 297 while running in 7th he ducked down pit road for fuel. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Logano ranked 8th with his speed over the segments being 11th, 4th, 5th and then 15th (saving fuel). In the four New Hampshire races prior to that, Logano had a 6.5 average finish.

Christopher Bell
New Hampshire Fantasy Outlook – Christopher Bell is a super-elite shorter-flat track performer and at New Hampshire, the road to victory lane might very well go thru him.  At “The Magic Mile” in the Next Gen, Bell’s won 50% of the races (2) and over the combined races he ranks 2nd for Speed, 3rd for average finish (9.3) and 3rd for Driver Rating. At shorter-flat tracks this year, Bell ranks 4th for average finish (7.5) and then 5th for Speed. Heading into the weekend, look for Bell to be a top five contender who’ll be a factor to win.
New Hampshire History – Christopher Bell has performed at a super-elite level at New Hampshire and since 2021 minus 2023, Bell has 2-wins and a 2.5 average finish. Last year, JGR was off as an organization, but Bell still wheeled the #20 home to a 6th. In the race, Bell started 19th, finished Stage #1 in 14th, finished Stage #2 in 6th and then of course finished 6th overall. Additionally, Bell ranked 7th for Driver Rating and had the 10th best average running position (10.9). In terms of speed stats, Bell ranked 6th for Speed Late In A Run and had the 7th best Total Speed Ranking. In 2024, Bell won Stage #1, finished 4th in Stage #2, had the best average running position (2.8), earned the best Driver Rating, led 149 laps and raced his way to victory lane. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Bell ranked 1st. In 2023, Bell had a hot rod but finished an asterisk mark 29th after having a laundry list of problems. In the race, Bell started on the pole, led the first lap (only lap he led) but then during the early AJ Allmendinger caution he had a slow pit stop that dropped him from 2nd to 10th. When Stage #1 ended, Bell finished 6th. Then during the Stage #1 caution, Bell pitted twice because of a loose wheel which dropped him to the back. When Stage #2 ended, Bell finished 10th. Then in the last Stage, Bell climbed as high as 5th on lap 268 but then to close out the race, Bell did a four-tire pit stop when others took two which dropped him back a little bit more. Then on lap 288 while running in 8th, Bell got into the wall hard which doomed him to his 29th. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Bell ranked 7th. In 2022, Bell smoked the field in closing time and raced his way to victory lane. In the race, Bell finished 6th in Stage #1, finished 9th in Stage #2, had a 6.8 average running position and led 42 laps, which were the final 42. In terms of speed stats, Bell had the 6th best Total Speed Ranking and ranked as the fastest driver late in a run. In 2021, Bell finished 2nd.

Ryan Blaney
New Hampshire Fantasy Outlook – Defending New Hampshire winner, Ryan Blaney is an elite performer at shorter-flat tracks and there’s no doubt he’ll be a driver to be reckoned with. At shorter-flat tracks since 2025, Blaney ranks #1 for average finish (6.9) and #1 for Speed. In 2026 over the combined races, he ranks 3rd for average finish (7.0) and 3rd for speed. At New Hampshire in the Next Gen, Blaney’s 3 for 4 at coming home with asterisk mark results of 18th or worse which has his average finish at 16.5, but he hasn’t lacked when it comes to “Performance” and ranks 5th for Speed and 6th for Driver Rating. On Sunday, look for Blaney to be a top five contender who’ll be a factor to win.
New Hampshire History – Ryan Blaney has been elite at New Hampshire, but he’s also been an asterisk mark machine having finished 18th or worse in 3 of the last 4. Last year, Blaney smoked the field and raced his way to victory lane. In the race, Blaney started 2nd, won Stage #1, finished 4th in Stage #2, had the 2nd best average running position (3.5), earned the best Driver Rating and led 116 laps en route to victory lane. In terms of speed stats, Blaney ranked #1 for Total Speed Rankings and then 2nd for Speed Late In A Run. In 2024, Blaney was one of the best but finished an asterisk mark 25th. In the race, Blaney started 2nd, finished 4th in Stage #1, finished 5th in Stage #2, had the 2nd best average running position (5.9) but then late in the race on lap 291 during a restart while running in 2nd, Michael McDowell got into him and spun out the #12. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Blaney ranked 2nd. In 2023, Blaney was top five good but finished an asterisk mark 22nd. In the race, Blaney finished 5th in Stage #1, finished 4th in Stage #2 but then during the Gragson caution with about 30 laps to go while running in 2nd, Blaney got a pit penalty for running over his air hose, dooming him to his 22nd. In terms of Total Speed Rankings, Blaney ranked 3rd. In 2022, Blaney didn’t have an incident free race, and it was also kind of an “off-race” in terms of performance from the #12 team, and he finished 18th. In 2021, a strong case could be made that Blaney was the best. In the race, Blaney won Stage #1, finished 3rd in Stage #2, had a 3.8 average running position, earned the 2nd best driver rating, led the 2nd most laps (64) and then finished 5th overall. In terms of speed analytics, Blaney had the 3rd best Total Speed Ranking and was the 5th Fastest Driver Late In A Run. Up until the final green flag pit cycle, Blaney was the race leader.

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